Thursday, 20 April 2017

Why We’re Ungovernable: Europe Gets Its Doomsday Scenario

The rise of French far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen has made a lot of people nervous since, among many other things, she’s in favor of leaving the Eurozone, which would pretty much end the common currency. But since polling has shown her making the two-person run-off round but then losing to a mainstream candidate, the euro-elites haven’t seen any reason to panic.

Here, for instance, is a chart based on February polling that shows Le Pen getting the most votes in the first round, but then – when mainstream voters coalesce around her opponent – losing by around 60% – 40%. The establishment gets a bit of a scare but remains firmly in power, no harm no foul.


Then came the past month’s debates in which a previously-overlooked communist candidate named Jean-Luc Mélenchon shook up the major candidates by pointing out how corrupt they all are. Voters liked what they heard and a significant number of them shifted his way.

Mélenchon: Far-leftist surges in French polls, shocking the frontrunners (France 24) – In a presidential campaign with more twists than a French braid, Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s sudden play to become France’s third man — or better — is shaking up the race. With ten days to go before April 23’s first round vote, the colourful, cultured and cantankerous far-leftist has the frontrunners on the defensive.

Suddenly, the grumpy far-leftist — a showman in a Chairman Mao jacket who openly admired late Venezuelan populist leader Hugo Chavez — holds the mantle of France’s most popular politician. In the course of a whirlwind month, the 65-year-old Mélenchon surged nine spots to number one in weekly glossy Paris Match’s opinion poll. A full 68 percent of those surveyed hold “favourable opinions” of the far-left candidate, the poll by the Ifop-Fiducial firm showed.

On some polls, Mélenchon has now bypassed embattled conservative François Fillon for third place in a presidential race that will see the top two advance to the May 7 run-off.

An Ipsos poll on Tuesday put Mélenchon a half-point ahead of Fillon for third place in the race, behind National Front leader Marine Le Pen and the independent centrist Emmanuel Macron. With 18.5 percent, the far-leftist has gleaned 4.5 percent in just two weeks, with Macron and Le Pen tied on 24 percent.

Mélenchon wants to quit NATO, the World Trade Organization, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and block European trade treaties with the United States and Canada. He promises a French referendum on whether to stick with the reworked EU he is pledging to negotiate or leave the bloc altogether.

Here’s a chart from the Washington Post showing just how tight the race for the run-off spots has become:


It’s still unlikely that both Le Pen and Mélenchon will make the run-off, but based on the above chart it’s suddenly possible. This would be the cultural equivalent of a Trump – Bernie Sanders race in the US, but with – believe it or not — even higher stakes because both Le Pen and Mélenchon would threaten the existence of both the Euro and the European Union, the world’s biggest economic entity.

So it almost doesn’t matter who wins that run-off. Just the prospect of having one or the other in charge would tank the Euro and set off a stampede out of Italian, Spanish and Portuguese bonds, possibly doing irreparable damage to the Eurozone before the eventual winner even takes power.

To repeat the theme of this series, when you screw up a country’s finances you take its politics along for the ride. In France, the right feels betrayed by open borders and excessive regulation, the left by an unaccountable elite that always seems to profit at everyone else’s expense. And both sides suffer from soaring debt at every level of society.

So if a fringe candidate doesn’t win this time around, the mainstream will just make an even bigger mess, raising the odds of a fringe victory next a few years hence.


- Source, John Rubio via the Sprott Money Blog

Friday, 14 April 2017

Rick Rule: Extremely Rare & Bullish Trading Pattern in Gold and Silver


President and CEO of Sprott US Holdings Rick Rule says gold, silver, and the US dollar rarely trade how they are trading right now…

Gold, silver, and the US dollar are all trading higher. This trading pattern is extremely bullish for gold and silver, Rule says.

Rule also notes the current strength in the US dollar is not reflective of economic strength. He explains why the US economy is actually weak. In addition, US dollar strength won’t last. With a national debt nearing $20 trillion and unfunded liabilities above $100 trillion, long term there is no practical option out of this debt besides devaluation.

- Source, Silver Doctors

Monday, 10 April 2017

The Real Reason The Federal Government Have Been Keen to Blame Russia for Everything: Gold





How would you feel if you had planned a gathering of your closest family and friends and your list of invites grows to include some 185 guests. You also invited your known trouble-making cousin. Your cousin shows up drunk, armed and belligerent. He begins harassing a good portion of the guests, smashes some of your prized possessions and then, as an added bonus, he shoots and kills 12 of your guests.

As your cousin is leaving the gathering, he takes your wallet and your wife’s purse. He also goes in your bedroom, opens your safe and removes all your gold and silver. Your cousin now has all your credit and debit cards and all the cash you had on hand. You can not conduct business in any manner. You can’t even pay the caterer for their services.

If this sounds like a horrific story, you’re right - it is. The drunken cousin is a metaphor for how the U.S. has been acting for the past several years and how it has treated countries around the world. Do you suppose some of these nations are more than a little tired of being treated in this manner? Do you suppose that instead of acting as this oppressive “cousin” acts that some of these countries would find it better to simply develop a way to leave the “gathering” in a peaceful manner and get on with their own business?

As we reported on March 30 China and Russia are taking steps to move away from their out of control “cousin”, the Federal Reserve Note, U.S. dollar, world reserve currency.

We learned in March 2016 that Kazakistan had been in formal talks with the Shanghai Gold Exchangeregarding gold as currency along the New Silk Road (One Belt One Road) spearheaded by China. Kazakistan also smelts most of Russia’s gold and mines a small amount gold annually and is a member of both the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and Eurasia Economic Union (EEU).

Then, in October of 2016 we continued covering how China had been working directly with the IMF to get the yuan/renminbi currency added to the SDR basket of currencies for global trade. That now appears to be a cover story for what lay ahead. With the renminbi now a global currency that changes how the renminbi functions within the currency markets and in global trade negotiations.

For the better part of the past year it has seemed as if the mainstream media, with talking points from the federal government, had been 100% obsessed with “Russia did it!!” “It” could be anything as the story has morphed so many times it’s hard to keep track. The “it” is not near as important as the cheerleading by the MSM to remind the public Russia is to blame!

The Russian obsession has, for the past several months, been running along side a new “enemy” – China. China and the South China Sea has been another point of beating war drums for the mainstream media. We now have two new enemies outside of Syrian President Assad, Iran, Iraq, Libya and whoever else we feel we need to bully. The whole list of enemies continues to grow even though there are exactly zero threats to the U.S. from any of these countries.

China began working their CIPS system, global trade settlement system, in October 2016, the same time the renminbi joined the SDR basket, allowing China to conduct global trade outside the U.S. owned and operated SWIFT system. Both systems are used to settle global trade transactions and the SWIFT system has been geared to the Federal Reserve Note – U.S. dollar – while the CIPS system is geared to the Chinese renminbi.

- Source, Sprott Money

Wednesday, 5 April 2017

Jim Rickards Warns Financial Calamity is Coming


Financial expert James Rickards is adamant that a financial shutdown and calamity is “Coming Sooner Than Later…”


Friday, 31 March 2017

Alasdair Macleod’s Market Report: Physical Demand Underwriting Prices

Gold and silver continued their rally this week, with Tuesday an especially strong day. Initially, gold was marked down to $1228 before buyers stepped in, and on heavy futures volume the price rose to $1247. Comex open interest that day rose by 16,494 contracts.


On the week, gold is up $14 from last Friday’s close by early European trade this morning, at $1243. Silver rose from $17.40 to $17.59 over the same timescale. Silver’s underlying strength relative to gold has picked up again, with the price tending to rise slightly relative to gold in consolidation periods.

Next week sees options expiry for gold, and a large position in the April futures contract must be liquidated, or rolled over into June. In the absence of good physical demand, one would expect the bullion banks, who are almost always net short, to mark prices down to encourage selling by the hedge funds. So far, this is not happening.

The likely reason is good underlying demand for physical gold. Indian demand is picking up again, following the banning of cash notes, with Switzerland exporting 37 tonnes in February. Chinese demand in February was also good, with Swiss exports at 21.5 tonnes last month. European interest appears to be strengthening as well, and the physical market is reasonably tight. Furthermore, the Russian central bank acquired a further 9.33 tonnes. ETF inflows picked up this week, rising by 9 tonnes in two days, according to Commerzbank.

Central bank demand can be expected to continue. Their tactics are to buy bullion quietly when it’s offered, which could be a good reason why the market appears so firm underneath. So, for the futures market, the physical background suggests that the market is underwritten, and any attempt to mark it down risks backfiring. The hedge funds are generally unconcerned over the physical position, because for them buying gold contracts is the other side of shorting the dollar. And there are signs the dollar rally is over.

Having been gung-ho over interest rate rises, a note of caution has crept into markets, with various indicators suggesting the US economy is slowing. At the same time as the Fed increased in interest rates last Wednesday, the Atlanta Fed downgraded its Q1 growth estimate from 1.2% to 0.8%. Consequently, with growth in the Eurozone showing some signs of life, the dollar’s trade weighted index looks set to ease further, and a lower dollar equates with a higher gold price. Furthermore, US Treasury bond yields have eased, with the 30-year bond falling from 3.2% to 3.0%, a significant correction.

The dollar’s weakness this year is reflected in our last chart, which is of the daily closing gold price in the four major currencies. Prices expressed in euros, sterling and yen have all risen less than in the dollar.


While the outlook for gold seems set fair, there is still the hurdle of next week’s option expiration, and the rolling over of futures contracts. The slightest justification, such as news seen as supportive for the dollar, will encourage the option takers to mark prices down.


- Source, Alasdair Macleod

Monday, 27 March 2017

Gold & Silver Soar After The Fed’s Clown Show


The Federal Reserve’s FOMC predictably nudged the Fed Funds rate up 25 basis points (one quarter of one percent) to set its “target” Fed Funds rate level at .75%-1%. Nine of the faux-economists voted in favor of and one, Minneapolis Fed’s Neil Kashkari, voted against the meaningless rate hike.

Or is it meaningless? Ex-Goldman Sachs banker Neil Kashkari was one of the Treasury’s Assistant Secretaries when the Government made the decision to bail out Wall Street’s biggest banks with nearly $1 trillion in taxpayer money. It was also when the Fed dropped the Fed Funds rate from about 5% to near-zero percent. Despite Yellen’s official stance that the economy is expanding and the labor market is “tight” (with 37% of the working age population not considered part of the Labor Force – a little more than 94 million people) Kashkari voted against the tiny bump in interest rates. This is likely because he is fully aware of risk to the banking system – perched catastrophically on hundreds of trillions in debt and derivatives – of moving interest rates higher.

The Fed’s goal is to “normalize” interest rates. The financial media and Wall Street analysts embrace and discuss this idea of “normalized” interest rates but never define exactly what that means. For the better part of the Fed’s existence, the “rule of thumb” was that long term rates (e.g. the 10-yr Treasury rate) should be about 3% above the rate of inflation. And the Fed Funds rates should be equal to or slightly above the rate of inflation.

Using the Government’s highly rigged CPI index, it implies the Fed Funds rate would be “normalized” at approximately 2.7% and the 10-yr bond around 6% based on Wednesday’s CPI report. Currently the Fed Funds rate is 3/4 – 1% and the 10-yr is 2.5%. Of course, since the early 1970’s, the CPI calculation has been continuously reconstructed in order to hide the true rate of price inflation. For instance, the current CPI index does not properly account for the rising cost of housing, education, healthcare and automobiles.

John Williams’ of Shadowstat.com keeps track of price inflation using the methodology used by the Government to calculate the CPI in 1990 and 1980. Using just the 1990 methodology, the rate of price inflation is 6.3%. This would imply that a “normalized” Fed Funds rate would be around 6.5% and the 10-yr bond yield should be around 9.5%. So much for this idea of “normalizing” interest rates. Using the Government’s 1980 CPI methodology, Williams calculates that the stated CPI would be 10.3%.

Most of the hyperinflated money supply has been directed into stocks, bonds and real estate. But based on the cost of a basket of groceries, healthcare and housing alone, price inflation is accelerating. If the Fed were to “normalize” interest rates at 6.3%, it would crash the financial and economic system. In other words, the Fed is powerless to use monetary policy in order to promote price stability, which is one of its mandates.


Friday, 24 March 2017

The Demise of the Gold and Silver Bull Run is Greatly Exaggerated

A few analysts are once again beating the drums for much lower gold and silver prices - supposedly just around the corner. They mistake the testing of a recent breakout for a turnaround in the main trend. In the process, they are sowing confusion. Here are some charts that show the main trend, along with reasons why the price of gold and silver is on track for a sharp rise, thanks to bullish fundamentals.


In view of the fact that we expect mining stocks tolead the way, we will start with the HUI index of gold miners. Price has just finished a test of the January 2017 breakout. The green arrow points to confirmation of the uptrend that began at the blue arrow. This is referred to as an ‘ABC bottom”. The target for this breakout is 365. The supporting indicators are positive with room on the upside. 


This chart, courtesy of Goldchartsrus.com, shows the long-term trend in the US rate of inflation, along with the short-term trend in red. Both long-term and short-term rates are rising. This trend provides energy for gold and silver to rise.


Featured is the long-term gold chart in log format. Price has found support at the 150 month moving average. A breakout at the $1300 level will be very bullish and will set up a target at $2100.


Featured is the US dollar index. Price appears to be carving out a 'head and shoulders' pattern. The set-up will be confirmed in the event of a breakdown at the purple arrow. The target for this potential breakdown is at the green arrow. Gold and silver can be expected to benefit in the event. The supporting indicators are negative.

- Source, Sprott Money, Read the Full Article Here

Saturday, 18 March 2017

Canada Flagged For Recession By BIS

As if Canadians needed more proof that the country’s real estate is in a bubble, and that this misallocation has spread to other sectors of the economy, the Bank of International Settlements released its latest quarterly confirming what any critical observer can see: binging on debt is rarely a good idea.

Canada’s debt-to-GDP gap is widening and even the central bank of central banks is concerned.

The BIS uses its credit-to-GDP analysis as an indicator and predictor of troubling economic waters. They claim successes in predicting financial crises in the United States, England and a few other economies. Generally speaking, according to the BIS, when a country’s credit-to-GDP gap is higher than 10% for more than a few years, a banking crisis emerges which is followed by a recession.

Canada entered that territory in 2015, warmly welcomed by the Chinese who’s debt-to-GDP gap has put them in the danger zone for at least the last five years.

In another parallel universe, perhaps Canadian authorities took the correct measures to counteract this high credit-to-GDP gap or to even prevent it from getting this out of control. But in our reality, we kept trudging across the tundra, mile after mile, pushing our credit-to-GDP gap up to 17.4%.

China’s “basic dictatorship” means they can turn their economy around on a dime, or so goes the thinking. Perhaps they will better absorb the economic slap in the face compared to Canada’s relatively freer market and less dictatorial government.

Still, both countries have a massive real estate bubble. In China, entire cities are centrally planned and built by government-connected contractors only to house absolutely nobody.

Wealthy Chinese families, witnessing the crony-capitalist chaos and subsequent malinvestments, have taken their hard-earned cash and moved it overseas. Enter stage-right the true north strong and free enough. Foreign speculation has helped drive up real estate prices in places like Vancouver and Toronto.

Of course, despite the pandering of Vancouver’s local politicians to angry locals that have been priced out of their home markets, foreign buyers are not the sole cause of Canada’s housing bubble and may in fact have little if anything to do with it.

Foreign speculation on Canadian real estate is to Canada’s housing bubble what subprime mortgages was to America’s infamous bubble. It’s more of an effect than a cause.

So what is the cause?

Don’t look to the BIS to own up to the disastrous and downright criminal actions of central banks around the world.

They’ve identified the disease of debt, but they’re mum on the cure as well as where all this speculative credit is coming from.

The Bank of Canada revealed that Canadians have taken on $2 trillion dollars in consumer debt. And while large numbers like these are thrown around a lot in the age of low interest rates, deficit spending and quantitive easing, it helps to have some perspective. It takes 31,709 years to count to one trillion. Now multiply that by two.

71.6% of that $2 trillion consumer debt is in mortgages. The BIS warns that large debt binges like this are almost always followed by a proportional recession. Thus, Canada has been flagged for bad times in 2018.

Of course, one doesn’t need the BIS’ empirical analysis to arrive at these conclusions. Following the sound economic logic of Mises and Rothbard not only reveals exactly what’s going on here but how we got here, what to do about it, and how to avoid it in the future.


Wednesday, 15 March 2017

Here Is What You Need To Know Ahead Of Tomorrow’s Fed Rate Hike

With markets awaiting the interest rate decision, here is what you need to know ahead of tomorrow’s Fed rate hike.

Here is what Peter Boockvar wrote today as the world awaits the next round of monetary madness: The February NFIB small business optimism index moderated a touch to 105.3 from 105.9 in January and vs 105.8 in December. It still though is pretty much holding its gains post election where the October print was 94.9 and November saw 98.4. There is one very important component that has not seen any improvement and that is plans for Increased Capital Spending which stands at 26% vs 27% in January and 27% back in October. This number touched 40 multiple times in the late 1990’s and the mid 30’s in the mid 2000’s. Likely companies are still waiting for what the tax reform will look like or maybe with capacity utilization sitting at 75% vs the historical average of 80% we still have an easy money driven overcapacity overhang…

Looking elsewhere within the report saw Plans to Hire fall 3 pts to 15%, the same level as November but up from 10% in October. Plans to Increase Inventory rose 1 pt to 3% but that’s not much different than the 2% seen in October. Expectations is where the real optimism still is as those that Expect a Better Economy sits at 47%, down 1 pt m/o/m but up from -7% in October. Those that Expect Higher Sales dropped 3 pts to 26% but was at 1% in pre election. Those that said it’s a Good Time to Expand was down by 3 pts to 22% but higher by 13 pts post election. The Positive Earnings Trends component fell 1 pt and still remains negative at -13% but up 8 pts from October.

Inflation

On the inflation front, Higher Selling Prices was up 1 pt to 6% which matches the highest since December 2014 and up from 2 in October. On the wage side, current Compensation Plans fell 4 pts to 26% after rising by 4 pts in January and not much different than the 25% seen in October. Future Compensation Plans also hasn’t changed much as it sits at 17% vs 19% in October and 14% in September. There remains the issue of finding qualified employees as job openings Not Able to Fill is at the highest level since December 2000 which provides hope that wages will improve from here.

To this last point, the NFIB said “Many small business owners are being squeezed by this historically tight labor market. They are not confident enough to raise prices on consumers, which limits how much they can increase compensation and makes them less competitive in attracting qualified applicants.” This also helps to explains the very low level of jobless claims. The NFIB said the 2nd biggest problem of small business is “finding qualified labor”, ahead of regulations, weak sales and insurance costs. Taxes is the top problem.

Reflecting the rise in LIBOR which sits at the highest level in 8 years, “The percent of owners reporting paying higher interest rates on their last loan jumped 7 pts to 11% in January and held at 9% in February, after averaging less than 2% since the recovery started in 2009.”

Hope

Bottom line, hope is what has driven the optimism but actual economic improvement has been more modest. The NFIB CEO made clear that “The sustainability of this surge and whether it will lead to actual economic growth depends on Washington’s ability to deliver on the agenda that small business voted for in November. If the health care and tax policy discussions continue without action, optimism will fade.” We will get this reform in some fashion I’m very hopeful but the market expectations bar is very high.

With the US 10 yr yield sitting at its highest level since September 2014 at 2.62%, Bill Gross we know is of the opinion that this is the breaking point that separates the end of the bond bull market or not (I believe it’s over and my readers know I’ve been saying that since August/September).

Overseas

Sovereigns in Europe and Japan are also testing their recent high yields today. The JGB 40 yr yield is just 1.5 bps from a 13 month high. The German 10 yr yield is 1 bp from a 14 month high and the French 10 yr yield is 2 bps from a 1 ½ yr high. I remain bearish on these bonds.

We saw some mixed data out of China overnight where authorities combined the January and February levels in order to take out the Lunar holiday distortion. Retail sales in February ytd rose 9.5% y/o/y, below the estimate of 10.6%, down from 10.4% seen in December and the slowest pace of gain since December 2003. The blame is being attributed to a drop in auto sales y/o/y because of a new tax on small cars and off a higher base last year. Industrial production grew by 6.3% ytd y/o/y, a hair above the estimate of 6.2% and up from 6% in January. Also out was fixed asset investment ytd y/o/y which grew by 8.9%, a quicker pace than the 8.3% that was forecasted. Bottom line, fixed private investment and property continued to lead the Chinese growth but I’ll say for the umpteenth time, I have no idea what’s temporarily stimulus driven and what is organic. The Shanghai comp was unchanged but the H share index was higher by .6% after jumping by almost 2% yesterday.

Of note in Europe was the German ZEW March economic confidence expectations index rose to 12.8 from 10.4 last month, vs 16.6 in January and about in line with the estimate of 13. It stood at 6.2 in October. Current conditions did match a nearly 6 yr high. The comments from ZEW were somewhat mixed: “The fact that the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment only shows a slight upward movement is a reflection of the current uncertainty surrounding future economic development. With regard to the economic situation in Germany, no clear conclusions can be drawn from the most recent economic signals for January 2017. While industrial production and exports witnessed a positive development, the figures for incoming orders and retail sales were less favourable. The political risks resulting from upcoming elections in a number of EU countries are keeping uncertainty surrounding the German economy at a relatively high level.” We can add the possibility of a BAT tax in the US to the list of uncertainties for German exporters. The euro is down a touch with the DAX flat.

Ahead Of Tomorrow’s Rate Hike

Ahead of the Fed hike tomorrow we see PPI today and CPI tomorrow. The energy driven headline number is expected to result in a 2.7% print tomorrow. I include one more chart before we hear from the FOMC. It is C&I loans and we can see clearly that they’ve plateaued here. Why? I’m not exactly sure yet.

- Source King World News

Thursday, 9 March 2017

White House Daily Briefing, Sean Spicer - Vault7, WikiLeaks, CIA, Budget Blueprint, Border Crossings...


In this daily White House briefing, Sean Spicer discusses recent news affecting the President of the United States and his administration, such as the reduced illegal border crossings, the recent CIA hacks by Wikileaks, Vault7 and Trumpcare.

- Source

Friday, 3 March 2017

GATA Chairman On Silver MASSACRE: We Know Who Did It and Why


Murphy reveals why shares were slaughtered ahead of today’s silver BOMBING, and why this is leading to something spectacular in the silver market…

A big move is coming and almost no one is prepared for it.

- Source, SD Bullion

Monday, 27 February 2017

Jeff Clark - Silver Demand Facing a Seismic Shift


Which precious-metal hungry nation's government has declared a war on cash & gold which is driving a seismic shift into silver, and will this demand overwhelm the world's razor-thin supply to skyrocket the physical silver market? Jeff Clark, Senior Precious Metals Analyst at GoldSilver.com, returns to Reluctant Preppers to weigh in from the Silver Screen to the Silver Skyrocket we can watch for​ going forward!


Friday, 24 February 2017

Einhorn Shorts Sovereigns, Affirms Gold on Trump Uncertainty

Hedge fund manager David Einhorn is betting on declines in government debt and a rebound in gold to guard against the risk of inflation under President Donald Trump.

“We made several changes to the macro portfolio in response to the election,” Einhorn said Thursday in a conference call discussing results for Greenlight Capital Re Ltd., the Cayman Islands-based reinsurer where he is chairman. “It was various long positions in sovereign fixed income that we eliminated. We added some additional shorts in sovereign fixed income, and we added to our long equity exposure.” He didn’t specify which nations’ debt he was betting against.

Einhorn is seeking to extend a rally in the investment portfolio of Greenlight Re, which said late Wednesday that it posted back-to-back quarterly profit for the first time since 2013. The portfolio was helped in the last three months of 2016 by bets on General Motors Co. and Japanese bank Resona Holdings Inc., while gold was a weak spot.

Still, “our long-term outlook remains bullish,” for the metal, Einhorn said. “The new administration comes with a high degree of uncertainty, and its policy initiatives appear to be focused on stimulating growth and, with it, inflation.”

General Motors shares jumped almost 10 percent in the fourth quarter and rallied further this year. He said the stock is still undervalued, citing misplaced concerns about the eventual shift to driverless cars.

The stock will continue to climb, “especially if employment strengthens and translates into higher wages,” he said.

Einhorn said the reinsurer’s investment portfolio slipped by about half a percent in January. Greenlight Re climbed 5 cents to $23.35 at 4 p.m. in New York, extending its advance to 2.4 percent since Dec. 31.

The company is seeking to improve insurance underwriting results and is looking for a new chief executive officer after saying in December that Bart Hedges will step down this year.

- Source, Bloomberg

Tuesday, 14 February 2017

THIS Is Why The Elite HATE Trump So Much

Have you ever wondered why the elite hate Donald Trump so much?

There have certainly been many politicians throughout the years that have been disliked, but with Trump there is a hatred that is so intense that it almost seems tangible at times. During the campaign, they went to extraordinary lengths to destroy him, but it didn’t work. And now that he is president, the attacks against him have been absolutely relentless. So why is there so much animosity toward Trump? Is it just because he is not a member of their club?

The truth, of course, is that it runs much deeper than that. Ultimately, the elite hate Trump because he is opposed to their demonic one world agenda. Many among the elite are referred to as “globalists” because their eventual goal is to unite the whole world under a single planetary system. These globalists truly believe that they know better than all the rest of us, and they want to impose their way of doing things on every man, woman and child on the entire planet.

So they get really angry when Donald Trump talks of “building a wall” or establishing a travel ban from certain countries because they eventually want a world without any borders at all.

And they get really angry when Donald Trump says that he wants to pull the United States out of international trade deals, because the elite were using those international trade deals to slowly integrate all nations into a single one world economy.

And they really don’t like when Donald Trump criticizes Islam, because Islam is going to be a key component of the one world religion that they plan to establish.

For quite a while the globalists were on a roll, but recently they have experienced some tremendous setbacks. Britain’s vote to leave the EU and the election of Donald Trump were not supposed to happen, and this has left many globalists searching for answers. In fact, just today I came across a New York Times article entitled “Besieged Globalists Ponder What Went Wrong“…

Until recently, you didn’t hear people being referred to as “globalist” very often. But in a time of rising nationalism, those who see the upside of globalism have become a distinct — and often embattled — tribe.

Last week, the globalists had a big family reunion in New York. The gathering was focused on the United Nations General Assembly, but a growing array of side conferences and summits and dinners also attracted concerned internationalists of every stripe: humanitarians, leaders of nongovernmental organizations, donors, investors, app peddlers, celebrities.

As you can see, even the New York Times uses the term “globalists” to describe these elitists.

At one time you would have been considered a “conspiracy theorist” is you spoke of “globalists”, but at this point the elite are not even trying to put up a facade any longer.

And of course Donald Trump made opposition to globalism one of the central themes of his campaign, and it really struck a chord all across America. As Dr. Jim Garlow noted in an article that went viral just before the election, Trump’s opposition to globalism was one of the key things that set him apart from Hillary Clinton…

Trump opposes globalism. Hillary thrives on it. Globalism is far more than “geographical” or “eliminating national borders and boundaries.” It is spiritual and demonic at its core.Few—very few—understand this. This is quite likely one of the main reasons why Trump is hated. Do your homework on this one. Think “principalities and powers.” Serious. Extremely serious.

The reason why the threat of globalism is so serious is because if a single global system is ever established there will be no escape from it.

Just think about it – where could you go to escape a government that literally rules the entire world?

These globalists are completely convinced that if they could just get control of everyone and everything that they could establish some sort of environmentally-friendly socialist utopia where war and poverty are eradicated. But in order to do that, they would need to be in a position to micro-manage the lives of every single person on the planet.

In their minds it would not be tyranny, but for those of us that love freedom that is precisely what it would be.


Friday, 10 February 2017

London Analyst Issues Dire Warning: Trump Could Trigger A Great Depression


In This Exclusive Interview, London Analyst Alasdair Macleod Issues A Dire Warning: If Trump Fails to Learn THIS, He Will Lead America Into A Repeat of the Great Depression…

Since the beginning of the year, gold and silver have been some of the best-performing assets. London Analyst Alasdair MacLeod joins SD to discuss the recent price action in the precious metals markets. MacLeod sees inflation to be the story in 2017, which means higher prices for gold and silver.

MacLeod says Trump is missing the fundamental reason behind trade imbalances. The solution to trade imbalances is sound money.

Macleod Warns If Trump fails to learn this, he will lead America into a repeat of the Great Depression…

- Source, Silver Doctors

Tuesday, 7 February 2017

Shock Poll Shows Merkel Losing Chancellorship If Elections Held Today; JPMorgan Stunned

Overnight we reported that Germany's default swaps spiked to the highest level since Brexit as a recent poll showed that Merkel's lead in the polls had slid to multi-year lows ahead of Germany's elections later in the year, provoking some concerns that a formerly unthinkable "tail risk" outcome was becoming more likely. 

However, according to new data unveiled today, Merkel's headaches are only just starting, because in a brand new poll released this afternoon, the CDU would get 30% of the vote, while the suddenly resurgent SPD would get 31%. This means that the SPD's new head, Martin Schulz, would enter any coalition talks as the leader of the largest party, hence becoming Chancellor, leading to a stunned reaction by JPMorgan.


In a note released this afternoon by JPM's Greg Fuzesi, the strategist writes that following the recent resignation of Sigmar Gabriel as leader and chancellor candidate of the SPD, there has been much attention on how his replacement Martin Schulz would perform. Having spent most of his career in the European Parliament, most recently as its president, and being relatively unknown in Germany, this is not easy to predict. In his first major TV interview, he was recently pressed to explain how exactly he differs from his predecessor Gabriel and also from Chancellor Merkel, and what his focus on fairness would mean in practice. This was not entirely straightforward for him.

Nevertheless, opinion polls were beginning to show a bounce last week and this appears to be continuing.

This afternoon, a new opinion poll from INSA showed the SPD gaining further support and overtaking the CDU/CSU for the first time in many years. If elections were held now, the INSA poll suggests that the CDU would get 30% of the vote, while the SPD would get 31%. This means that Schulz would enter any coalition talks as the leader of the largest party, hence becoming Chancellor.




It also means that a SPD-Green-Left coalition would currently win exactly 50% of seats, so that a government without the CDU/CSU could even be possible. In effect, the SPD has gained 10%-pts of support in past two (weekly) INSA polls, taking votes away from all other parties (see second chart below). Interestingly, the AfD has also suffered a significant decline.




Given that Schulz is relatively new to German politics, a novelty factor may be partly responsible for the jump in the polls. It is far too early to say whether this will endure, given that the election campaign has yet to properly begin. It will also be important to see whether other polls replicate the swing. The SPD has gained support in all recent polls, but these are all a week or more old and do not show the latest jump in the INSA poll. That said, there is no reason to dismiss the INSA poll. It is the newest organization and the only one to be done entirely online, but it (arguably) performed only marginally worse than other polls at the last Bundestag election.

A Schulz-led SPD-Green-Left coalition or a Schulz-led grand coalition would certainly be a huge event in German politics. Such possibilities no longer look like tail risks. A SPD-Green-Left coalition would bias German policymaking towards greater fiscal expenditure and investment, and center-left policies. But, even such a coalition would not mark a dramatic break with the past in many areas and would, we expect, continue Germany’s strong support of the EU and single currency.

In short, "Chancellor Schulz" may be just what Brussels, and to a lesser extent President Trump, ordered.

- Source, Zero Hedge

Friday, 3 February 2017

How Will Trump’s Border Tax Affect the Price of Silver?



You know, I don’t think it really would have much impact on very much. I mean, look, Mexico is having some challenges right now for sure, you know, with energy prices so low. The revenue is going into…the government Treasuries are lower than it is or it has been historically. So, you know, they have gone after the mining sector, you know, we know that. I think everyone listening to this knows that the tax was brought into place back in 2014. 


We’re paying that tax. It’s just basically normal course. If you compare it to other countries around the world, Mexico is about in the middle when it comes to taxation industry. 

So it’s a relatively low-cost country to be active in as a company. You know, with the peso the way it is, labor is extremely cheap. The peso is around 23 to 1, which is, you know, pretty good for us as our revenue is in U.S. dollars and 75% of our costs are in pesos. And the peso was about 12 to 1 just two years ago. 

It’s now 24 to 1 or 23 to 1. So it’s made a huge difference for us. So, you know, I’m not expecting much change in Mexico as a result of Trump coming in at all.

- Source

Tuesday, 31 January 2017

If Trump Orders Gold Audit: Gold Explodes


Which way will President Trump take the US economy and what will the Trump effect be on gold? Proprietary analyst and founder of Kirby Analytics, Rob Kirby, predicts the most likely and most dramatic actions we should watch for from Trump, and how to position your family to weather the road ahead!


Thursday, 26 January 2017

Gold Needs To Be In Pension Funds Before They Implode

Tens of millions of Americans and their employers pour money into pension plans each month, counting on those funds to grow and to be there when needed at retirement.

But a time bomb awaits. The bulk of U.S. pension funds are dangerously underfunded, and the assets are often invested in securities that have bleak prospects for providing income that keeps up with a general decline in purchasing power.

A pension plan requires an employer to make contributions into a pool of funds set aside for a worker’s future benefit. In 1875, when the American Express Company established the first private pension plan in the United States, the face of retirement was fundamentally changed. Before that time, private-sector pension plans did not exist, as most employers were small “mom-and-pop” businesses.

The innovation at American Express caught on. By 1929, 397 private sector pension funds were in operation throughout the United States and Canada. As of 2011, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 18% of private sector workers are covered by pension plans. At the end of 2015, the value of U.S. pension funds was $21.7 trillion.

Millions of Americans will rely on pensions once they’ve reached the age of retirement. Pension fund managers have a fiduciary duty to safeguard funds against foreseeable risk. With the practices of today’s Federal Reserve, there is no risk more foreseeable than inflation, but these fiduciaries are not fulfilling their duty to protect against this significant risk by investing in assets which are specifically suited to defend against the perpetual loss of the dollar’s purchasing power.


Chief among these assets are physical gold and silver, the most reliable inflation hedges from time immemorial.
Nothing Is Certain Except Death, Taxes, and Dollar Devaluation

In today’s uncertain times, few things are as certain as the devaluation of the dollar. Having lost more than 95% of its valuesince the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, America’s unbacked fiat currency has a 100-year track record of declining value year after year. There is no reason to expect this trend to reverse, and the possibility of a total collapse of the dollar at some point cannot be ruled out. This is important because of the dollar’s inverse relationship to the price of gold.

As the unbacked Federal Reserve Note continues to be abused and devalued, it becomes clearer every day that pension funds should increase their precious metals holdings.

According to the Asset Allocation Survey by the U.S. Council of Institutional Investors, only 1.8% of pension fund investments are in the broad commodities category, which includes monetary metals. That means only a fraction of 1% in pension assets are held in gold and silver.


Instead, pension funds today focus their investments in U.S. Treasury securities, investment-grade bonds, stocks, real estate, and other interest-rate sensitive assets.
Gold Counter-Balances Other Investments

Whether it is an individual investing $1,000 or a fund manager in charge of investing millions of dollars, risk management is crucial.

Fund managers typically will not invest in extremely risky investments for fear of losing their investment, and potentially, their jobs. Conventional wisdom is that government bonds are paramount in safety and security.

But these bonds, as well as the Federal Reserve Note “dollar” itself, are backed by nothing more than the full faith and credit of an insolvent U.S. government. Washington D.C. has accumulated astronomical debts of more than $20 trillion and total long-term entitlement obligations now top $100 trillion. Officials will only be able to “meet” these long-term commitments by inflating them away. That is why money creation at the Federal Reserve has become standard operating procedure. Gold, on the other hand, appreciates as the dollar’s value falls, not to mention offering resilience to financial and political crises.

The financial establishment remains hostile to gold, but influential people are making the case for larger gold holdings. Alistair Hewitt, head of market intelligence at the World Gold Council, said, “Unless investors are willing to accept a loss-making investment strategy, they may need to consider increasing their holdings of gold. We believe this should resonate especially well with pension funds and foreign managers whose investment guidelines are typically stricter and who hold a large portion of bonds in their portfolios.”

Getting fund managers to include physical gold in pensions is a difficult challenge. While they have a fiduciary responsibility to protect and grow their clients’ investment, most prefer to stick with the conventional wisdom and avoid bucking the system – but there are other pressures as well. Guy Christopher writes, “Precious metals in your possession have no counterparties and no continuing fees and commissions, unlike the thousands of investments brokers sell. Once you own gold, that part of your wealth and your future is out of Wall Street’s hands.”
Look to Texas for the Blueprint on Gold-Invested Pension Funds

The Texas Teacher Retirement Fund and the University of Texas own nearly $1 billion in physical gold, which will soon be transferred from Wall Street vaults to a brand-new depository in the Lone Star State thanks to the recently passed Texas Bullion Depository legislation.

Shayne McGuire, portfolio manager of the Gold Fund for the Teacher Retirement Fund of Texas said that “one of the main reasons we considered gold was the diversification benefits it provides to portfolios dominated by equities, as most pension funds are.”

While most pension fund managers shy away from gold, they do so at their own risk and the risk of their pensioners. As a non-correlated asset to bonds, stocks, and other paper-based investments, precious metals are key to true diversification. It’s time for pension fund managers to break out of their Wall Street groupthink and include a meaningful allocation to physical gold and silver bullion for protection against inflation and financial turmoil.


Monday, 23 January 2017

GATA'S Bill Murphy On Gold & Silver And The Central Bankers


Join Rory Hall of The Daily Coin Bill Murphy of GATA in this insightful interview on the Central Banksters and how there starting to lose they're grip on Precious Metals and will be over powered through the Global Markets.


Monday, 16 January 2017

Could Trump’s Border Tax Ignite CHAOS in the US Silver Market?


Doc & Dubin Are Back in the Saddle Breaking Down the Big PM Rally to Start 2017.

Doc Presents A Potential Black Swan For Silver Entirely Off the Radar:

Could Donald Trump's Border Tax Plan Unleash Absolute CHAOS in the US Silver Market?


Friday, 13 January 2017

Manipulation Crushed Profit Margins At Largest Primary Silver Mining Producer

The profit margin trend at the world’s largest primary silver mining company has experienced a rapid decline over the past several years. Fresnillo PLC in Mexico, is the largest primary silver mining company in the world. Last year, Fresnillo PLC produced 47 million of silver and 762,000 oz of gold.

For all their hard work, Fresnillo’s profit margin versus its cost of sales fell to an all-time low of 7% in 2015. This can most certainly be blamed on market intervention, which I will discuss in more detail in upcoming articles.

The chart below shows how the company’s cost of sales has increased to $1.01 billion while their attributable profit fell to only $70 million:



Now compare the huge difference between the 2015 figures to 2005. In 2005, Fresnillo PLC’s cost of sales were only $196 million versus their attributable profit of $136 million. Thus, the company’s attributable profit margin to their cost of sales was 70%… ten times higher than it was in 2015.

Furthermore, Fresnillo PLC produced a lot more silver and gold in 2015 versus 2005.

Fresnillo PLC Silver & Gold Production (Moz = million oz.)

2005 Silver production = 35.2 Moz

2005 Gold production = 277,000 oz

2015 Silver production = 47 Moz

2015 Gold production = 762,000 oz

Even though Fresnillo PLC increased their silver production significantly over the past decade, it is their gold production that experienced the most rapid growth. However, the company enjoyed a much higher profit margin on its cost of sales in 2005 when it was producing a lot less gold and silver.

If we look at the chart above, we can clearly see that the attributable profits for years 2013-2015 were about the same as what Fresnillo PLC made from 2005-2008, but, the cost of sales were three to four times less during the early period than they were from 2013-2015.

As we can see, something clearly changed on Fresnillo PLC’s income statement after 2012. Again, this was due to market invention by the Federal Reserve and Central Banks via the bullion banks paper trading markets.

That being said, I need to clarify a few things. While the chart above shows Fresnillo PLC’s cost of sales, this does not include all their total costs. The cost of sales figures only represent what takes place at the actual mine. If we add additional costs, such as administration, exploration, selling expenses and even income tax, the total (more realistic) cost is much higher.

For example, Fresnillo PLC’s additional costs were in 2015:
Administration cost = $63 million
Exploration cost = $140 million
Selling expenses = $14 million
Income tax expense = $143 million

Thus, Fresnillo PLC’s attributable profit of $70 million was even less at only 5% when we compare it to their total revenue of $1.44 billion.
Fresnillo PLC Capital Expenditures Have Jumped Nearly Eight Times While Profits Evaporated



Fresnillo PLC’s capital expenditures were $475 million in 2015 versus $61 million in 2005. The increased capital costs were due to expansion of new projects as well as increased higher sustaining capital costs. It would have been nice for Fresnillo PLC to make better profits on the large amount of capital and money they spend to provide gold and silver to the market.

I stated in the beginning of the article that “Market Invention” was the cause of Fresnillo’s deteriorating profit margins. While many things can be blamed on “market intervention” or “manipulation”, new evidence released from Wikileaks cable published on GATA’s website, states that it was done on purpose to keep the public from hoarding physical gold.

Again, I will be writing articles discussing this in detail. However, the primary gold and silver miners are few of the only companies producing REAL WEALTH in the world. It is a shame that “market intervention” is crippling the only industry that provides the world with real wealth.

Lastly, even though I have shown how Fresnillo PLC’s profit margin has really fallen in the past several years, I believe this is one of the strongest primary silver and gold mining companies in the world. Most other gold and silver mining companies lost money in the past two-three years, but Fresnillo PLC still made some profits.

Furthermore, the best performing mining companies in the future when the GREATEST FINANCIAL PONZI SCHEME in history starts to unravel will be those who produce mostly gold and silver. What I mean by that is a company’s revenue that predominately comes from both gold and silver mining.

For example, Fresnillo PLC’s silver and gold metal sales in 2015 accounted for 91% of their total revenues. Compare that to Pan American Silver’s 73% of total revenues came from silver and gold metal sales for the same year.

Regardless, the market has no clue just how undervalued physical precious metals are as well as the primary gold and silver miners. When the FIAT MONETARY FAN finally hits the COW EXCREMENT, the market price of these extremely rare assets will surge higher.

- Source, SRS Rocco

Sunday, 8 January 2017

Accounting Gimmicks Won’t Stop The U.S.A. Titanic From Sinking

The U.S. Government has gone to great lengths in using accounting gimmicks to prop up the financial system and domestic economy. One area where this is readily apparent is the disconnect between the rising U.S. debt versus the annual budget deficits.

Mish Shedlock wrote about this in his article, U.S. Deficit at $590 Billion But Debt Up $1.2 Trillion: Sleight Of Hand Magic:

The US deficit is up $590 billion so one might think total US debt would rise by that amount or at least something close to that amount.

Instead, total US debt for the fiscal year that just closed soared by over $1.2 trillion. What’s going on?

The shortest answer is “deficit lies”. The longer answer involves numerous off budget items like social security do not count towards the deficit but do count towards debt.

I calculated the increase of total U.S. debt from 2000 to 2016 as well as the annual budget deficits:



From 2000-2016, the total U.S. debt increased by $13.9 trillion while the annual budget deficits equaled $9.1 trillion. Thus, we had a net difference (or shortfall) of $4.8 trillion. Basically, the total U.S. debt increased $4.8 trillion more than the annual budget deficits during that time period.

So, how could this be? From the article linked above Hoisington Management stated the following about the increase in debt versus the deficits:

“From 1956 until the mid-1980s, the change in gross federal debt was always very close to the deficit (Chart 1). However, over the past thirty years the change in debt has exceeded the deficit in 27 of those years, which served to conceal the degree to which the federal fiscal situation has actually deteriorated. The extremely large deviation between the deficit and debt in 2016 illustrates the complex nature of the government accounting.



The increase in debt for that period was over $1.2 trillion while the deficit was $524 billion, a near $700 billion difference. The discrepancy between these two can be broken down as follows (Table 1): (a) $109 billion (line 2) was due to the change in the treasury cash balance, a common and well understood variable item; (b) $270 billion (line 3) reflects various accounting gimmicks used in fiscal 2015 to limit the size of debt in order to postpone hitting the Debt Limit. Thus, debt was artificially suppressed relative to the deficit in 2015, and the $270 billion in line 3 is merely a reversal of those transactions, a one-off, non-recurring event; (c) $93 billion (line 4) was borrowed by the treasury to make student loans, and this is where it gets interesting. Student loans are considered an investment and therefore are not included in the deficit calculation.

Nevertheless, money has to be borrowed to fund the loans, and total debt rises; (d) In the same vein, $70 billion (line 5) was money borrowed by the treasury to increase spending on highways and mass transit. It is not included in the deficit calculation even though the debt increases; (e) $75 billion (line 6) was borrowed because payments to Social Security, Medicare and Affordable Care Act recipients along with the government’s civilian and military retirees were greater during this time frame than the FICA and other tax collections, a demographic development destined to get worse; (f) Finally, the residual $82 billion (line 9) is made up of various unidentifiable expenditures including “funny money securities stuffed in various trust funds”.

What is interesting to take notice in the chart in the quoted text above, is that the high spike in total U.S. debt versus the annual budget deficit took place during the 2008-2009 U.S. financial and economic crash. However, another large spike took place in 2016 as the total debt increased $1.2 trillion versus $590 billion in the budget deficit.

So, why such a big increase in 2016 if the U.S. economy and stock market is supposedly very strong??? Or is the financial situation much worse than we are led to believe?

Well, to get an idea of where we are going, we need to look at how the U.S. Government forecasted its budgets in the past. Here is the CBO – Congressional Budget Office ten-year budget from 2008 to 2017. The excel table below also includes years 2006 and 2007:



It’s kind of hard to read all the data, but the highlighted RED AREA is the annual deficits or surpluses, and the YELLOW is the debt held by the public. Now, this public debt amount is not the entire U.S. debt, just the public debt. The figures highlighted in YELLOW do not include the “Intragovernmental Holdings.”

For example, in 2006, the total public debt (yellow) was $4.829 trillion. However, the total U.S. Government debt was $8.5 trillion that year. Thus, the Intragovernmental holdings were approximately $3.7 trillion.

So, according to the CBO ten-year budget in for 2008-2017, there would be a net surplus of $800 billion (this is all the way to the right of the highlighted yellow line) and the total public debt (minus intergovernmental holdings) would fall to $4.274 trillion in 2017.

So, what really happened? Here is the CBO’s ten-year budget for 2017-2026:



If we look at 2017, the total U.S. public debt is forecasted to reach $14.743 trillion. Thus, the CBO blew their previous 2008-2017 budget by a cool $10 trillion. Again, the CBO forecasted that the total public debt would only be $4.274 trillion in 2017, nowhere near the $14.473 trillion they forecast for next year.

Furthermore, the CBO forecasts the cumulative deficits will be an additional $8.571 trillion from 2017-2026 (this is all the way to the right of the yellow highlighted line).

Let’s put the CBO ten-year budget forecasts into perspective. According to their 2008-2017 budget made in 2007, they forecasted the total pubic debt would fall from $4.995 trillion in 2008 to $4.274 trillion in 2017. It didn’t. Instead it is forecasted to jump by $10 trillion to $14.743 trillion in 2017. Again, the CBO understated the rising public debt by $10 trillion.

Moreover, the CBO forecasted that the U.S. government would enjoy a $800 billion net surplus from 2008-2017. Instead, the net annual deficits from 2006 to 2016 accounted to over $8 trillion. So, they blew that by almost $9 trillion. We get that $9 trillion figure by adding the $800 billion surplus to the $8 trillion deficit.

If the CBO got their ten-year budget from 2008-2017 off by $10 trillion in public debt and $9 trillion in cumulative annual deficits, how much will their 2017-2026 budget forecast be off by???

Hell, the CBO forecasts $9 trillion more in public debt by 2026 and $8.5 trillion in cumulative annual deficits. So, in all likelihood, their forecast will be off by at least 50%, or more.

Again, total current U.S. debt is $19.9 trillion. This includes $14.4 trillion in public debt and $5.5 trillion in Intragovernmental Holdings. If the CBO is budgeting $23 trillion in just public debt, we can add another $6-7 trillion for Intragovernmental Holdings, for a total of $30 trillion by 2026. But, wait… they are probably going to be off by at least another $10-$15 trillion

What kind of interest on the debt would it be if U.S. total debt reached $40 trillion?

Actually, I doubt we are going to make it that long. If you have been reading my energy analysis, the WHEELS FALL OFF THE ECONOMY well before 2026. And in all likelihood, the sinking of the U.S.A TITANIC will probably take place during President-elect Trump’s administration.

Lastly…. there seems to be a many disillusioned precious metals investors who are throwing in the towel due to the supposed Trump Kool-Aid. This doesn’t surprise me one bit. It takes a special person to stick to their guns when the GOING GETS ROUGH.

While the U.S. debt will continue higher, along with the broader stock markets, trying to time the EXIT STRATEGY will be the worse mistake anyone can make.

- Source, SRS Rocco

Thursday, 5 January 2017

China Threatens Trump With "Big Sticks" If He Wages A Trade War

In the latest not too subtle threat lobbed by China's official press aimed at Donald Trump, the mainland media warned the President-elect that he’ll be met with "big sticks" if he tries to ignite a trade war or further strain ties.

"There are flowers around the gate of China’s Ministry of Commerce, but there are also big sticks hidden inside the door -- they both await Americans," the Communist Party’s Global Times newspaper wrote in an editorial Thursday in response to Trump’s plans to nominate lawyer Robert Lighthizer, who has criticized Beijing’s trade practices, as U.S. trade representative.

The latest lashing out at Trump from a state-run outlet, noticed first by Bloomberg, followed others last month aimed at Peter Navarro, a University of California at Irvine economics professor and critic of China’s trade practices whom Trump last month named to head a newly formed White House National Trade Council. Those picks plus billionaire Wilbur Ross, the nominee for commerce secretary, will form an "iron curtain" of protectionism in Trump’s economic and trade team, the paper wrote.

The three share Trump’s strong anti-globalization beliefs and seem unlikely to keep building the current trade order, it said, adding that they will be more interested in disrupting the world trade order.

Concurrently, SCMP reported that China’s state media have lambasted US president-elect Donald Trump for commenting on and conducting foreign policy on Twitter. The state-run news agency Xinhua ran a signed commentary headlined “Addiction to Twitter diplomacy is unwise” late on Tuesday night.

The article came after Trump fired another salvo at China through Twitter on Tuesday, accusing Beijing of refusing to help contain North Korea’s nuclear ambitions.

Trump first questioned in a tweet North Korea’s claims that it was in the final stages of testing a ballistic missile capable of reaching American soil. He later tweeted: “China has been taking out massive amounts of money & wealth from the US in totally one-sided trade, but won’t help with North Korea. Nice!”

The Xinhua commentary said Trump’s use of Twitter had aroused widespread concern among US politicians and academics.

For now China appears to have fallen off Trump's radar, and instead over the past few days the president-elect has been focusing on the ongoing Russian hacking fiasco as well as slamming "head clown" Chuck Schumer for the mess that is Obamacare.


- Source, Zero Hedge

Monday, 2 January 2017

Bitcoin Surges Above $1,000 As China Unveils New Capital Controls

As noted yesterday, for the first time in three years, and only the second time in history, bitcoin rose above $1,000 in Yuan-denominated Chinese trading, however it was limited to the lower side of this "round number" psychological barrier in US trading, as BTC flirted with $999.99 for most of the day on the popular Coinbase exchange, without crossing it.


Overnight, however, Chinese demand proved too great and US markets had no choice but to arb the difference. So with Bitcoin trading in China at an implied price of over $1,050 at this moment, bitcoin finally soared above $1,000 in the US as well, trading just around $1,024 on Coinbase as of this moment.


Various catalysts for the recent surge have been cited, chief among which is the ongoing crackdown against cash in India providing a new source of demand for bitcoin. However, the most immediate driver of the recent burst in Chinese demand originates, not unexpectedly, from China where Beijing over the weekend implemented even more of what we have said since September 2015 will keep pushing bitcoin relentlessly higher: capital controls.

Recall that as we noted over the weekend, in order to further curb capital outflows, Chinese banks will be required to report all yuan-denominated cash transactions exceeding 50,000 yuan (around 7,100 US dollars) to the People's Bank of China (PBOC), down from the current level of 200,000 yuan, according to a PBOC document released on Friday. Cross-border transfers more than 200,000 yuan by individuals will also be subject to the report process. In terms of foreign currencies, the report threshold remains at the equivalent of 10,000 US dollars for both cash transactions and overseas transfers.

- Source, Zero Hedge

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